The USDA came out on Wednesday, September 12th with one of the most bearish WASDE reports in recent memory, destroying any pre-report expectations, especially for corn and soybeans.
Brennan Turner is originally from Foam Lake, SK, where his family started farming the land in the 1920s. After completing his degree in economics from Yale University and then playing some pro hockey, Mr. Turner spent some time working in finance before starting FarmLead.com, a risk-free, transparent online and mobile grain marketplace (app available) that has moved almost 150,000 MT in the last 2.5 years. His weekly column is a summary of his free, daily market note, the FarmLead Breakfast Brief. Visit the FarmLead website (www.farmlead.com) for more information and to sign up for Brennan's newsletter.
If you would like to be notified when a new article is posted, please click on the subscribe button below.
Grain markets are all in the red as the complex continues to have a losing first week of September.
Wheat prices continue to be the worst-performer of the group as the bullish dynamic in Europe, the Black Sea, and Australia has seemingly been priced in, relative to a decent-sized crop coming off in Canada.
Europe continues to garner attention thanks to extreme heat and the ongoing reduction in wheat production estimates. The key factor, however, is quality.
Nearly a year ago, we wrote a FarmLead Insights piece on the rise of the Russian wheat industry, and how they have been a key factor in the global wheat market.
The month of July started out slow for wheat prices, but as we got into the second half of the month, things started to pick up. We’ve started to see more aggressive moves in this first week of August, thanks to some drier weather in Europe, Australia, as well as North America.
Last week, Japan lifted its ban of importing Canadian wheat and immediately jumped into the market looking for 63,000 MT of 13.5% protein spring wheat. We had previously suggested that it could take up to three months before Japan ended its break-up with Canadian spring wheat.
What a difference a year makes. The portion of the US spring wheat crop rated good-to-excellent (G/E) are 40 points higher right now than last year, and we saw a big uptick in spring wheat acreage. The question, moving forward, is how the weather will hold. Spring wheat prices have faced renewed pressures thanks to trade and weather concerns.…